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The United States economy in the third quarter grew at the fastest pace in two years, according to a revised report that showed stronger consumer spending than first estimated.

The gross domestic product, the countrys total output of goods and services, expanded at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the July-September period, the Commerce Department reported on Tuesday. That is up from a previous estimate of 2.9 percent.

The revision was significantly better than the meager gains of 0.8 percent in the first quarter and 1.4 percent in the second, when the economy was being held back by a strong dollar and weak business investment.

The 3.2 percent increase was expected to be the best showing for the year. Economists say they believe growth has slowed to around 2 percent in the current quarter. At the moment, they are forecasting growth of 2 to 2.5 percent for 2017.

Real Economic Growth Annual rate of change in the gross domestic product, based on quarterly figures adjusted for inflation and seasonal fluctuations.

To

From

3rd quarter revised

Change at annual rate

But analysts caution that the outlook for next year could shift significantly based on policy changes like tax cuts and higher trade tariffs that President-elect Donald J. Trump has promised.

Uncertainty regarding our forecasts is higher than usual, given expected fiscal and trade policy changes under the new administration, said Blerina Uruci, a Barclays economist.

Continue reading the main storyThe latest look at G.D.P., the second of three estimates from the government, showed that consumer spending grew at a rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter, better than the 2.1 percent first estimated. The newfound strength reflected more spending than initially thought in such areas as auto purchases and utility bills. Still, consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of economic activity, slowed from a gain of 4.3 percent in the second quarter.

Other areas of strength were in export sales, which grew at a 10.1 percent rate. Although the figure partly reflected a temporary surge in exports of soybeans, economists are hopeful that exports will show further gains in the coming months. Earlier in the year, American manufacturers were battered by a strong dollar, which made their goods more expensive on overseas markets.

For the year, the economy was expected to grow a modest 1.5 percent, down from 2.6 percent in 2015, which was the best performance in the seven years since the recession ended in mid-2009.

Consumer Confidence Index measuring attitudes toward the economy, 1985=100.

While G.D.P. growth is expected to slow, analysts still expect the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark interest rate at its meeting in December. It would be the first rate increase since the Fed raised its benchmark rate by a quarter-point a year ago.

During the recent campaign, Mr. Trump deplored what he saw as a sluggish economic recovery under President Obama; economic growth has averaged around 2 percent since the end of the recession. Mr. Trump said he wanted to set a national goal of reaching 4 percent growth during his administration.

Most economists think that may be overly optimistic, given tepid productivity growth and the mass retirement of baby boomers, which they say would weaken growth in the labor market.

Some economists have said they will increase their economic growth forecasts if Mr. Trump is successful in getting Congress to pass his package of tax cuts and increased spending in such areas as military

and infrastructure projects. But their current estimates put growth at around 2.5 percent over the next two years, an improvement from their current forecast of growth next year of around 2 percent, but well below Mr. Trumps 4 percent target.

Continue reading the main story
Admin · Ninguna vista · Escribir un comentario
01 Dic 2016
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Many media outlets have criticized Today show host Matt Lauer for treating Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump differently when he moderated NBCs Commander-in-Chief Forum earlier this month. Whether consciously or not, Lauer behaved toward the presidential candidates in a way that was consistent with much of the research about gender stereotypes and discrimination. Specifically, he interrupted Clinton more often than Trump, asked her more challenging questions, and questioned her statements more often.

These differences in the treatment of men and women are robust, research shows. Take the issue of interruption, for instance. In a well-known study conducted back in 1975, sociologists Don Zimmerman and Candace West of the University of California, Santa Barbara systematically examined interruptions by men and women during conversations. They visited various public places, from coffee shops to drugstores, and surreptitiously recorded any two-person conversations they overheard. Their final sample was rather small (31 dialogues in total), but the results are still worth noting: In mixed-sex conversations, men were responsible for all but one of the 48 interruptions they overheard.

These findings have been replicated in more recent research. In a 2014 study conducted by linguist Adrienne Hancock of George Washington University, 40 people (men and women) were recruited to engage in two short conversations, one with a man and one with a woman. The results? Women were interrupted significantly more often than men. If a mans conversational partner was female, he interrupted her, on average, 2.1 times over the course of a three-minute dialogue; if his counterpart was male, however, that number was 1.8 times. Women, too, were less likely to interrupt men than women. They interrupted an average of 2.9 times if their partner was female and just once, on average, if their partner was male.

Such differences in the treatment of men and women are often rooted in unconscious biases that all of us fall prey to. Unconscious bias is rooted in our perceptions of others, which can harden into stereotypes and prejudice over time. Bias becomes the lens through which we process information and make decisions. We generally think of skin color, gender, nationality, and age when we consider bias, but unconscious prejudice can affect how we view many other characteristics, including aspects of peoples appearance (height and weight) and personality (introversion and extroversion).

In one well-documented experiment, described in Sheryl Sandbergs book Lean In, Harvard MBA students evaluated the same case study of a successful entrepreneur. Half the class read a version in which the entrepreneur was male; the other half read a version in which the entrepreneur was female. The students who read about the male entrepreneur identified him as having positive traits, such as leadership and direction, while students who read about the female entrepreneur characterized her as being bossy and overly direct. The responses reflected the students hidden biases about how male and female leaders should act.

We may think that we ourselves are immune to such bias, but we arent. (If you are unconvinced, try taking an online Implicit Association Test to learn how persistent these biases can be.) Do we hire or promote people who look like us? Do we talk to men and women differently? Do our stereotypical views affect the job assignments and opportunities we give to our staff? The likely answer to all of these questions is yes.

We are subject to bias even in high-stakes situations, as in the case of the Commander-in-Chief Forum. In fact, given the anxiety and stress such events inspire, we are even more likely to fall prey to biases in high- rather than low-stakes situations despite the common belief that well work harder to avoid being biased in stressful situations. Under stress, the brain processes information less rationally, thus increasing our likelihood of relying on stereotypes and heuristics.For instance, in research I conducted with Alison Wood Brooks of Harvard Business School and Maurice Schweitzer of Wharton, we found that when people feel anxious, as compared to when they are in a neutral emotional state, they are unable to evaluate the quality of the information that they receive from others or see potential conflicts of interest, and this is costly to their decisions.

What we can do to prevent these widespread biases from affecting what we say and do? First, we need to be aware of these biases and how they operate. And we need to have the humility to recognize that they affect us in the same way that they affect other people. Theres some compelling evidence, in fact, that the more convinced we are of our own objectivity, the more likely bias is to creep in and influence our judgment and decisions.

Second, we can try to train our brain to make counter-stereotypical associations. Exposing people to counter-stereotypic examples of group members is one way to accomplish such type of training. In one experiment, for example, people showed measurably less implicit bias toward Asian Americans after they watched The Joy Luck Club, a movie that offered a nuanced portrait of Asian immigrants to the United States.

Third, we can try individuation, which involves seeking specific information about members of a group to which we dont belong to learn about their preferences and common behaviors, as well as the specifics about their ways of thinking. This tactic allows us to recognize people based upon their personal attributes rather than based on stereotypes about groups to which they belong.

Fourth, we can try to take the perspective of those with whom we interact. Ask yourself what your perspective might be if you were in the other persons shoes. By doing so, you can develop a better appreciation of that persons concerns. Perspective taking raises our level of empathy for others and debiases our thoughts about them. In the process, stereotyping is likely to dissipate.

Admin · 12 vistas · Escribir un comentario
20 Sep 2016
Your favourite episodes of Friends could soon come with added product placement following the rollout of new technology that digitally inserts branded goods into pre-existing video programmes.

The technology, described as product placement on steroids is being premiered for Bushmills whiskey in specially created content on Vices Viceland TV channel, but it could also be used to introduce product placements into older shows.

The technology is the result of a partnership between Mirriad Advertising Ltd and media agency Havas Media Group, which claims it will attract $25m (17m) in spending over the next 12 months.

Related: Triumph revival fuelled by continuing nostalgia for 1960s retro chic

Forget intrusion, this is about creating content that becomes something of genuine interest so its led by content, not the product, says Shane Ankeney, president of Arena Media US, part of Havas. Its a kind of product placement but on steroids.

Using the new technology, brands can be swapped out to suit different audiences on different platforms, both on and off-line, a plus as Viceland rolls out into different territories.

It will also help combat ad blocking, say the companies behind it, because the placement is integrated into the video people are watching.

Whats great is to pioneer what could become a new way of scaling product placements within content, said Dominique Delport, global managing director of Havas Media Group. And you get back some ad dollars that could have been lost to ad blocking techniques.

The potential going forward is to use this for other, perhaps older programmes as well, for instance episodes of Friends where ad products can be inserted pixel by pixel into the content beautifully creating new possibilities for brands.

The choice of Vice as a rollout partner reflects the companys willingness to experiment with different forms of advertising, and it has been especially successful with sponsored content. . Chief executive, Shane Smith, has said that digital advertising is faced with a blood bath if it doesnt become more relevant to viewers.

http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&fd=R&ct2=us&usg=AFQjCNEJUsUFzfTur0msPljoOnA9L8cEqQ&clid=c3a7d30bb8a4878e06b80cf16b898331&ei=z6RqV4joFJDPuAKYgK7IDg&url=http://www.theguardian.com/media/2016/jun/22/new-technology-could-add-product-placement-to-old-tv-programmes
Admin · 15 vistas · Escribir un comentario
22 Jun 2016
Pope Francis is bringing 12 Syrian refugees back to Rome after a quick visit to the Greek island of Lesbos.

The Holy See confirmed Saturday that the three Muslim families, including six children, will be housed in the Vatican. Francis wanted to make a gesture of welcome to refugees, the statement said.



Before departing from Lesbos Francis was joined by Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew and the Archbishop of Athens Ieronymos II in signing a declaration urging the international community to make the protection of migrant lives a priority and to extend temporary asylum to those in need.

The three clerics led a minute of silence in front of hundreds of people at the Lesbos port of Mytilene, before tossing floral wreaths into the sea in memory of those who perished while trying to reach to Europe.

Greek Orthodox Ecumenical Patriarch Bartolomew I (L) and Greek Prime Minister Alexis Trispras (R) welcome Pope Francis as he arrived on the Greek Island of Lesbos for a visit aimed at supporting refugees and drawing attention to the front line of Europe'Greek Orthodox Ecumenical Patriarch Bartolomew I (L) and Greek Prime Minister Alexis Trispras (R) welcome Pope Francis as he arrived on the Greek Island of Lesbos for a visit aimed at supporting refugees and drawing attention to the front line of Europe'

Moria detention camp

Earlier, Pope Francis visited the Moria detention camp in Lesbos.

Pope Francis greets migrants and refugees at Moria refugee camp near the port of Mytilene, on the Greek island of Lesbos, April 16, 2016.Pope Francis greets migrants and refugees at Moria refugee camp near the port of Mytilene, on the Greek island of Lesbos, April 16, 2016.

Adults and children broke down in tears at the sprawling fenced complex on the Aegean island, pleading for help after their journey to Europe was cut short by an EU decision to seal off a route used by a million people fleeing conflict since early 2015.

Francis also accepted drawings and paintings from children. As he handed one art project to his staff, he said, "Don't fold it. I want it on my desk."

EU-Turkey deal

The European Union and Turkey have entered into a controversial deportation deal to end Europe's worst migrant crisis since World War II.

Human rights groups say the scheme for dealing with the crisis does not recognize the inherent dignity of the migrants as human beings, but instead treats them as merchandise that can be traded back and forth.

Officers from the European Unions border protection agency, Frontex, lead a migrant as they get in a ferry in the port of Mytilini, Lesbos island , Greece, April 8, 2016.Officers from the European Unions border protection agency, Frontex, lead a migrant as they get in a ferry in the port of Mytilini, Lesbos island , Greece, April 8, 2016.

The Vatican said the pope's trip is not a "direct" criticism of the scheme, but is a purely humanitarian visit.

Bernie Sanders

Earlier Saturday, Pope Francis met U.S. presidential candidate Bernie Sanders.

The two men had a brief morning exchange at a Vatican guesthouse where the pope lives and where Sanders and his wife spent the night.

Sanders, who is seeking the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, said he told the pope he admired the pontiff's efforts to raise issues including "the need for morality in the global economy."

US presidential candidate Bernie Sanders, backdropped by the dome of St. Peter's Basilica, leaves after an interview with the Associated Press, at the Vatican, April 16, 2016.US presidential candidate Bernie Sanders, backdropped by the dome of St. Peter's Basilica, leaves after an interview with the Associated Press, at the Vatican, April 16, 2016.

Later, Sanders said he thinks Francis is an "extraordinary figure in modern world history." He said he admires the pope for "enlightening the world about the massive levels of income and wealth inequality" and "a culture which rewards greed and ignores people who are hurting."

Sanders, who is Jewish, said he was honored to meet Pope Francis.

Sanders was invited to the Vatican to participate in a conference Friday on social justice.

Admin · 23 vistas · Escribir un comentario
16 Avr 2016
Facilities Maintenance Companies will help you. It can create a lot of stress on you as a homeowner if your home's HVAC system is not working properly. Repairing an HVAC unit is expensive and it can take a while before your home is once again a comfortable environment. Read this article to learn how to care for and maintain your HVAC system.


Make sure you check the filters in your air conditioning unit. This is important because checking your filters could make the difference between inexpensive repairs and more expensive ones down the line. Try to put it into your monthly schedule so that you don't forget to check the filters regularly.


Although most people are thinking of their heating systems during the winter months, air conditioning is also important. When installing a new furnace or heating system, make sure the air ducts are also set up to work with your air condition system. Using the ducts for both heating and cooling is the most economical choice.


Clean the fan blades and coils on the condenser fan every spring. Shut off the power to ensure that none of the parts will move while you work on it, before you do so. Secondly, pop the grill off, take the blades off and clean them as well as the actual unit.


Before having someone install a new HVAC system or maintain or repair yours, make sure they are insured. Having someone who is insured work on your system will assure that if anything happens while they are working at your home, they are financially covered and you will not be responsible.


Make sure you have your HVAC system checked at least twice a year. This should be done in Spring and Fall to prepare it for the extreme months. If your unit seems to be properly working, it is still advisable that you perform maintenance and resolve any potential problems, it doesn't matter.


To save money on your HVAC system, turn the air conditioning down at night and let your home warm up a bit. To keep yourself cool, use a chilling water-filled pillow to cool down your head and your whole body as a result. This combined with a fan will keep you from overheating while saving on your utility bills.




Ask for references and be sure to call them as well. You are dealing with a high ticket item here, so you'll want to do your due diligence to make sure you are getting the best for your money. Don't stop there, although ask for references. Call each reference to check. A lot of people don't take that important last step.


To run an efficient HVAC, you must ensure your house is fully insulated. First, if you have the right kind of insulation and enough of it, check into your attic to find out. Investing in getting that up to grade is better than installing a strong HVAC system if not!


Shut off the air conditioning if nobody is home. When it's off the house will get hot, but only by a certain amount. Leaving it on increases your electric bill and wear and tear on the system, however.


Air conditioners sometimes ice up. The drain line might also freeze over. Change the setting on your thermostat to the fan setting and this will disable the compressor if this is something that's happening to you. This problem will need to be handled by a professional, even though the fan will probably help with the ice situation.


Use your HVAC system to heat your water for free! In the summer, residual heat pulled out of your house is used to heat water through a geothermal system. This will cool your home while allowing you to save a ton on hot water costs, plus it's environmentally friendly to boot!


Ask the technician what he will be doing if you plan on having a service on your HVAC unit. Any thorough service should consist of several things. The technician should check temperaturelevels and pressures, amperage draw, and coolant levels. They should adjust any belts that need it and clean the coils.


If you can install an air conditioner on your current forced-air system without having to install new duct work, call in a contractor to find out. This can save you a ton of money and time, plus it takes up less space in your walls and rooms to boot.


A great way to reduce the stress on your HVAC unit is to install ceiling fans in your home. During the summer, you can have them blow downward to cool the air and make your home feel more comfortable. In the winter you can reverse the direction and circulate warm air trapped at the ceiling.


For top efficiency, figure out what direction your home faces. It's possible to block some of the morning sunlight so your home won't become overheated if you strategically place trees. Your AC will work less if there's less heat inside your home.


Try looking at some reviews online for local HVAC companies. There are many websites and directories online that should include these services that are in your area. This can help you comparison shop. You need to look at many aspects. Pay special attention to licensing, how many years they've been around, any issues, and how they were resolved.


Ask for referrals from friends and family. The best way to judge if an HVAC company is going to do a good job is from people who have actually used them. Ask your acquaintances if they have had work done, and find out if they were happy with thejob and timeliness, and budget.


Don't just hire the first contractor you meet or call. Before going ahead with one, be sure to compare multiple options. They should meet all of your requirements, be it offering a great guarantee to being able to come and do the work on your budget and within your timeline.


The biggest step to preventing problems in your air conditioner is getting a professional tune-up once a year. This is especially important before the summer. This is when your air conditioning system will be working its hardest. Getting regular tune-ups reduces the risk of malfunctions and will keep you cool all summer long.


To keep your home feeling comfortable it is very important that your HVAC system is working the right way. The information and tips from above hopefully have showed you what it needed to make the HVAC last a very long time. Remember what you learned here, and use it to ensure you have a home that has a comfortable living space.

facilities maintenance

Admin · 59037 vistas · Escribir un comentario
25 En 2016

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